Retirement Wealth Planner
The arithmetic before the advice

Healthcare Costs

Care Costs Move With Local Wages

Long-term care is mostly a labour cost, so its price tracks local wage levels rather than national averages, and varies sharply between regions and between care settings.

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The cost of long-term care differs enormously from one place to another. The explanation is simple once care is understood as a service delivered by people rather than a product with a price.

Labour dominates the cost structure

Residential and home care are staffing-intensive. Wages, employment costs and the number of staff required per resident account for the large majority of what is charged.

Buildings, food and administration matter, but none of them scales with intensity of care in the way that staffing does.

This means the price of care in any area is anchored to what care workers there are paid, which is set by the local labour market rather than by the care sector alone.

Regional wage differences transfer directly

Areas with high general wage levels have to pay more to attract care staff, because those workers have alternatives in retail, hospitality and healthcare.

The same standard of care therefore costs materially more in an expensive region than in a cheaper one, and the gap can be large.

National average figures consequently describe almost nobody's actual position, and using one for planning can understate or overstate the need considerably.

Settings differ in how much labour they need

Home care is priced by the hour, so its cost rises directly with the amount of support required and can exceed residential care at high intensities.

Residential settings share staff across many residents, which reduces cost per person for supervision but not for hands-on personal care.

Settings providing skilled nursing require more qualified staff at higher ratios, which is why they sit at the top of the cost range in every region.

Care wages rise faster than general inflation at times

Where demand for care grows faster than the supply of workers willing to do it, wages rise to close the gap, and prices follow.

Ageing populations and constrained labour supply have pushed in that direction across many countries, which is why care cost growth has often outpaced general price measures.

A plan inflating future care costs at a general inflation rate may therefore understate them, though the extent is uncertain rather than known.

Location choices are part of the plan

Because cost is local, decisions about where to retire and where family live influence the eventual cost of care as much as the type of care chosen.

Moving to receive cheaper care means moving away from family support, which is itself a resource that reduces paid care hours.

Public funding, means testing and eligibility for support differ substantially by jurisdiction and change over time, so local current rules are what determine the household's actual exposure.

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Gerald Vance
Risk & Longevity, Retirement Wealth Planner

Gerald trained as an actuary. He is the person who asks what happens if you live to ninety-seven, and he asks it early.

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